Euch zur Info:
Die (nationalen) Märkte für die Nationalratswahl sind aufgesetzt. Sie starten in den kommenden zwei Wochen.
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Für Vorschläge und Anregungen für weitere Märkte - auch Ständerat - wäre ich dankbar.
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Dieses Jahr ist es - leider - nicht möglich, ein größere Marktauswahl anzubieten, die die nationalen eidgenössischen Wahlen en detail bis in den kleinsten Kanton abbildet. Dafür fehlt der Kooperationspartner.
Ich bedaure das sehr. Zumal Wahlfieber stets die mit Abstand besten Prognosen geliefert hat.
Nur ein einziger Markt?
Es gefällt mir überhaupt nicht. Bislang waren die nationalen Wahlen in der Schweiz eine feste Bank. Früher hast du uns überschüttet mit interessanten Märkten.
Vorschläge habe ich einige. Aber wie viele User finden sich, die eidgenössische Märkte zu würdigen wissen?
Ich sehe maximal eine Handvoll, die wie ich aus der Schweiz kommen. Wo ist der grosse Rest? Wobei ich mich ausklammern sollte. Ich lebe schon lange nicht mehr in Zürich.
Nur ein einziger Markt?
leider ist dem so.
Das ist Mist!
Schade drum. Die vergangenen Wahlbörsen zur Schweiz waren überaus spannend,
ja, ich bedaure das ebenso.
aber ohne koop-partner ist eine ausführliche betrachtung der schweizer wahlen unmöglich.
am wochenende wird gewählt. und leider ist der wahlkampf häufig an mir vorbei gegangen. zum ersten mal seit über einem jahrzehnt.
zur kenntnis genommen habe ich aber u.a. eine presseaussendung der fdp zum thema: Digitalisierung ist für viele immer noch Neuland.
die mittleilung begann wie folgt - kein scheiss! -, hier ungekürzt wiedergegeben:
FDP.Die Liberalen, 11. Oktober 2019 - frei dem motto: Sie sehen lauter Nullen und Einsen und verstehen nur Bahnhof? Dann geht es Ihnen wie den meisten anderen auch...
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Anm.:
SVP | SP | FDP | CVP | Grüne | glp | BDP | Andere | MAE | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ergebnis 2015 | - 29,4 % - | - 18,8 % - | - 16,4 % - | - 11,6 % - | - 7,1 % - | 4,6 % - | 4,1 - | - 8,0 % - | - |
- | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ||
Prognosen 2019 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
- | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ||
Wahlbörsen | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Wahlfieber - Schlusskurs | 26,92 - | 18,18 - | 15,34 - | 10,43 - | 11,06 | 7,96 - | 2,77- | 7,34 - | |
Wahlfieber - Durchschnitt | 26,9 - | 18,2 - | 15,3 - | 10,4 - | 10,9 - | 7,7 - | 2,6 - | 7,9 - | |
- | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ||
Umfragen | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Sotomo | 27,3 - | 18,2 - | 15,2 - | 10,6 - | 10,7 - | 7,3 - | 2,8 - | 7,6 - | |
LeeWas | 27,9 - | 18,0 - | 15,6 - | 10,4 - | 10,2 - | 7,2 - | 3,3 - | 7,4 - | |
Gallup | 26,9 - | 18,5 - | 15,9 - | 10,5 - | 10,5 - | 7,4 - | 3,1 - | 7,2 - | |
- | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ||
Sonstige ** | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Me, Myself & (Blue) I'd | 27,25 - | 18,0 - | 15,5 - | 10,5 ** | 11,0 - | 8,0 - | 2,75 - | 7,0 ** - | |
- | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ||
- | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |
Nachwahlumfragen | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
SRF- gfs Bern | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |
- | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |
| - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Ergebnis 2019 | % | % | % | % | % | % | % | % | - |
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Weitere Details - siehe auch "sonstige Prognosen", dort: Prognose für "Andere" (gekennzeichnet mit: 7,0 **):
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** Unklar ist aktuell, ob ein Kandidat im Kanton OW vom BfS als "(partei-)unabhängig" gewertet wird oder u.U. einer ihn (primär) unterstützenden Partei (denkbar: CVP) zugeschlagen wird. Die abgegebene Prognose müsste ggf. entsprechend angepasst werden (Änderungspielraum: 0,25 %)
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Detailprognose Wahlieber - ausgewählte kleine Parteien (in der Reihenfolge: Schlusskurs / Durchschnitt):
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Links:
Bitte auch folgenden Thread beachten:
http://www.wahlfieber.ch/de_sie/forum/prognosen/7264/1/#posting1
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Die eigentliche Diskussion über den eidgenössischen Wahlausgang könnte dort stattfinden.
In den kommenden Wochen und Monaten finden folgende Wahlen und Abstimmungen statt – zu allen Terminen werden voraussichtlich Märkte aufgesetzt:
So trägst du mit deinem Wissen zur Prognose bei » Mehr im Infocenter
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